Open Access

表3

加速方程系数与常应力下特征寿命的估计

方案 c01 c11 c21 c02 c12 c22 R(500) R(1 500) R(3 000)
(30, 15) τ1=(200, 25, 25, 4) MLE 11.17 7 942.62 -5.30 7.90 9 593.44 -5.52
Bayes 3.71 7 936.16 -3.89 6.81 9 085.03 -5.09 0.958 1 0.789 2 0.498 5
τ2=(450, 60, 60, 9) MLE 3.76 8 054.20 -3.97 6.77 9 038.74 -5.06 0.962 6 0.800 2 0.506 9
Bayes 3.63 7 983.20 -3.89 7.03 9 105.75 -5.13 0.966 4 0.819 4 0.545 2
(30, 25) τ1=(200, 25, 25, 4) MLE 4.54 8 094.72 -4.14 7.13 9 079.41 -5.15 0.962 3 0.806 8 0.529 6
Bayes 4.49 8 053.44 -4.10 7.26 9 111.39 -5.18 0.966 1 0.820 9 0.552 6
τ2=(450, 60, 60, 9) MLE 4.36 8 044.49 -4.09 6.73 9 025.76 -5.05 0.961 5 0.794 8 0.497 6
Bayes 4.32 7 997.93 -4.05 6.86 9 069.13 -5.09 0.963 4 0.805 2 0.517 9
(40, 20) τ1=(200, 25, 25, 4) MLE 5.11 8 224.85 -4.29 7.56 9 232.66 -5.29 0.970 7 0.851 4 0.627 4
Bayes 4.84 8 138.86 -4.20 7.72 9 254.73 -5.33 0.969 3 0.845 6 0.616 0
τ2=(450, 60, 60, 9) MLE 3.80 8 001.11 -3.95 6.57 9 056.80 -5.03 0.958 7 0.785 1 0.482 5
Bayes 3.71 7 936.16 -3.89 6.81 9 096.03 -5.09 0.962 9 0.801 3 0.508 4
真值 4 8 000 -4 6.5 9 000 -5 0.949 2 0.757 1 0.448 8

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